2011年5月15日星期日

Batting Average Deserves More Respect: Eddie Yost and Shawn Dunston

Let's make an invidious comparison between Shawn Dunston's 1997 season and Eddie Yost's 1956 season.

Dunston played for that Chicago Cubs during the 1980s and 1990s. He was a flashy fielder with a rifle arm who set an increasing in 1997 by drawing only eight walks while qualifying for your batting title.

Yost was a good defensive third baseman who played to the original Washington Senators. Known as "The Walking Man," he led the American League in walks five times despite his .254 lifetime batting average. In 1956, Yost walked 151 times.

In 1997, Dunston batted .300 with 147 hits in 490 official at-bats using the Cubs and, at the end with the season, with the Pittsburgh Pirates.

In 1956, Yost hit .231, managing 119 hits in 515 official at-bats.The difference was that Dunston had only 511 plate appearances while Yost had 684,

Dunston were forced to hit his way on base. His 1997 on base average was .312, or possibly a mere 0.012 points over his batting average.

Yost couldn't hit his way on base, but he previously a great mastery of the strike zone. Despite his anemic .231 average, Yost had a .412 on base average, and that is exactly 0.100 points more than Dunston's.

There has been a tendency to give on base average a lot credit while denigrating batting average. Admittedly, Dunston's 1997 season and Yost's 1956 season are extremes, nevertheless they help to graphically illustrate that statistics have to be interpreted within a specific context.

Yost batted leadoff for any Senators, but he was going to lead off only his first at-bat. He reached base more than 41 percent of the time, hitting his way on only 23 percent of times.

Dunston reached base only 31 percent of that time period, but he hit his way on 30 percent of the time, or seven percent a lot more than Yost.

Recognizing that many uncontrollable variables exist, such as the Cubs' and Senators' batting orders, Dunston's higher batting average is significant.

Which has a runner on first and much less than two outs, Dunston had a better potential for moving the runner to 3rd than Yost, although Yost had a better probability of moving the runner into scoring position which has a walk. What happens next is dependent upon the lineup, opposing pitcher, as well as many other factors.

The old "with an athlete on third and two outs" needs to be mentioned. Dunston had a much better chance of driving home the run than Yost.

Taking 600 official at-bats being a bench mark, the difference from a .300 hitter and a .231 hitter is concerning 41 hits. How important those hits may very well be depends on circumstances.

Yost scored 94 in the Senators 652 runs, or about 14 percent of his teams runs. Dunston scored 71 with the Cubs 687 runs, or about 10 percent.

The point is that Yost reached base 270 times between hits and walks. Dunston reached base 155 times between hits and walks.

Statistics should be interpreted within specific contexts. Yost reached base 115 more times than Dunston, but scored only 23 more times.

An incredible statistic is that Yost slugged .336, which supports the contention that having a .412 on base average beyond context can be deadly. Yost could easily get on base, but that was almost the limit of his offensive value.

It's not necessarily being argued that batting average loke it is valuable than OBA. It is being noticed that statistics cannot stand alone.

Another question. How did Yost lead the league in walks more with Ted Williams and Mickey Mantle inside the league?

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